Enphase Energy Stock Performance

ENPH Stock  USD 51.67  14.39  38.60%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Enphase Energy holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.31, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Enphase Energy will likely underperform. Please check Enphase Energy's treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Enphase Energy's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Enphase Energy are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady basic indicators, Enphase Energy demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow288.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities128.3 M

Enphase Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,117  in Enphase Energy on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,050  from holding Enphase Energy or generate 65.77% return on investment over 90 days. Enphase Energy is currently generating 0.9766% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.8608% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 52% of stocks are less volatile than Enphase, and 81% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Enphase Energy is expected to generate 7.85 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.85 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Enphase Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Enphase Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 51.67 90 days 51.67 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enphase Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Enphase Energy probability density function shows the probability of Enphase Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Enphase Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Enphase Energy has an alpha of 0.8954, implying that it can generate a 0.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Enphase Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Enphase Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enphase Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3736.5939.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.4234.6437.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.4935.7138.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.1036.5040.89
Details

Enphase Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enphase Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enphase Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enphase Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enphase Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.90
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.31
σ
Overall volatility
4.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Enphase Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enphase Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enphase Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enphase Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Enphase Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Enphase Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enphase Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enphase Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enphase Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding140 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Enphase Energy Fundamentals Growth

Enphase Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Enphase Energy, and Enphase Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Enphase Stock performance.

About Enphase Energy Performance

By evaluating Enphase Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Enphase Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Enphase Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Enphase Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Enphase Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells home energy solutions for the solar photovoltaic industry in the United States and internationally. Enphase Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Fremont, California. Enphase Energy operates under Solar classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2260 people.

Things to note about Enphase Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Enphase Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Enphase Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enphase Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Enphase Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Enphase Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Enphase Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Enphase Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Enphase Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Enphase Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Enphase Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Enphase Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Enphase Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Enphase Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Enphase Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Enphase Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Enphase Energy's price analysis, check to measure Enphase Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enphase Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Enphase Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enphase Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enphase Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enphase Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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